Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.500374 16.339129 18.337610 20.673606 23.332527 26.268625 29.761750
2025-03-09 11.644992 14.049593 16.860068 20.397495 24.745245 29.932477 36.617402
2025-03-16 9.573542 12.265696 15.620917 20.132431 26.074806 33.682060 44.234747
2025-03-23 8.308151 11.247438 15.133830 20.690695 28.501019 39.189201 55.097978
2025-03-30 7.108934 10.114515 14.307297 20.648525 30.110914 43.888010 65.796802
2025-04-06 6.019604 8.957126 13.258510 20.105841 30.901012 47.547446 75.708060
2025-04-13 5.192095 8.050462 12.427245 19.734013 31.861405 51.601573 87.017902
2025-04-20 4.701802 7.582627 12.186879 20.234490 34.275836 58.373658 104.190776
2025-04-27 4.308093 7.208255 12.033756 20.842303 36.959784 66.059631 124.577313
2025-05-04 3.915196 6.776627 11.717896 21.108930 39.072980 73.091266 145.233730
2025-05-11 3.479280 6.208782 11.083141 20.692758 39.836643 77.714002 162.093143
2025-05-18 3.112974 5.716390 10.514645 20.307536 40.583673 82.417223 180.128600
2025-05-25 2.797921 5.286886 10.021547 20.027513 41.569450 87.949844 201.667638
2025-06-01 2.551121 4.956366 9.674904 19.993179 43.077512 94.920166 228.329302
2025-06-08 2.328744 4.645327 9.325223 19.898914 44.444975 101.865253 256.751703
2025-06-15 2.203074 4.514759 9.327220 20.572355 47.694020 113.888556 301.468766
2025-06-22 2.036479 4.276654 9.069389 20.617774 49.464919 122.680641 339.882512
2025-06-29 1.848004 3.967745 8.616674 20.136672 49.851904 128.036111 370.027869
2025-07-06 1.692549 3.712628 8.250738 19.806757 50.564914 134.404932 405.004328
2025-07-13 1.610862 3.614703 8.232936 20.340414 53.669747 148.047480 466.823372
2025-07-20 1.541664 3.537142 8.252745 20.974634 57.179559 163.653278 539.996250
2025-07-27 1.457690 3.414151 8.146526 21.259701 59.760425 177.095464 610.082583
2025-08-03 1.344545 3.206857 7.805078 20.851936 60.235113 184.142791 659.422661